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Our mission is to teach a proven system and to provide traders with the tools to master it.

Peter Stolcers, founder

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Here's What We Traded Recently

This is a simplified preview of our chat room last week. Notice that many traders are posting great stocks and the action is widespread. We are a laser-focused community trading a systematic approach.

OneOption OneOption
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ON AIR
ShKalash
1/14/2025, 09:42 AM
@willbeing nice update to the reactions! Just noticed that
DieBroccoli
1/14/2025, 11:06 AM
For anyone wondering (as I was), tap the little lightning bolt icon to expand the emoji reactions. Then tap the one you want 
@ShKalash: @willbeing nice update to the reactions! Just noticed that View
JonnieB
1/14/2025, 11:22 AM
Good morning everyone. 
Pete
1/14/2025, 11:34 AM
It's fairly common. In this case it's trending lower. The price action is still weak, you just have to swing trade it because the moves come over night. Can you envision a pattern where it gaps down every day and closes higher? Consecutive overlapping greens.
@Lightsey: Is it unusual for a stock to gap down and close higher multiple days in a row like PLTR has? I was going through searches tonight and hadn’t seen this price action before: View
Tech tok
1/14/2025, 11:35 AM
Good morning
Story
1/14/2025, 12:43 PM
only posting because of how Pete has been talking about China:


FXI Chinese banks’ new loans posted their first decline since 2011 last year, underscoring weak demand for financing. The PBOC reiterated its goal to keep the yuan stable — something that’s been worsening a liquidity squeeze. BBG
trad241
1/14/2025, 12:47 PM
Gm
milwaukeeblizzard
1/14/2025, 12:57 PM
good morning
DieBroccoli
1/14/2025, 01:00 PM
Good morning 
Pete
1/14/2025, 01:06 PM
Good morning. PPI in 30 minutes so keep an eye on /ES
lilsgymdan
1/14/2025, 01:23 PM
good morning
Blazenbull
1/14/2025, 01:24 PM
Morning!
Mel.H.
1/14/2025, 01:28 PM
Good morning
Johnny Lang
1/14/2025, 01:30 PM
Holy snike - Premarket just jumped on spy :D
Story
1/14/2025, 01:30 PM
PPI-Final Demand: Expectations are varied throughout Numerous wires
PPI m/m: ACTUAL 0.2% - Expecting 0.3% - 0.4%
PPI y/y: ACTUAL 3.3% - Expecting 3.3% - 3.5%
PPI Core m/m: ACTUAL 0% - Expecting 0.3%
PPI Core y/y: ACTUAL 3.5% - Expecting 3.4% - 3.8%
Pete
1/14/2025, 01:31 PM
That was a good number 0%. The market is going  to rally on that. We tested the 100-day MA yesterday and we broke below it. The market rallied back and it closed above it. That is a sign of support. Dip buyers have been waiting for that support so they were ready and waiting. Some unsuspecting bearish specs will be forced to cover and they will get squeezed. We are expecting a bounce and we are not worried. We know that when it runs out of steam, a good shorting opportunity will surface on a D1 basis. We want to gauge the height and duration of this bounce. CPI and JPM are tomorrow. If the market can't rally on good news, it is a sign of selling pressure. Long-term money is looking past these backwards looking econ releases. 
Johnny Lang
1/14/2025, 01:31 PM
Is this a case of F ur puts? from papa powell?
lilsgymdan
1/14/2025, 01:33 PM
ANF short likely dead in the water,  but was a spec short pds that was out of the money. Either it flushed to 120 and paid 200%+ or went to zero. Will end up being about a 30% loss
CipherTan
1/14/2025, 01:37 PM
Good morning everyone!! 
mopillar
1/14/2025, 01:38 PM
Good morning
Permenant_Vaca2
1/14/2025, 01:38 PM
Good Morning!
Pete
1/14/2025, 01:38 PM
No. I don't even know what that is. Powell has nothing to do with this release. 
@Johnny Lang: Is this a case of F ur puts? from papa powell? View
Orange Floyd
1/14/2025, 01:39 PM
Morning all!
bkubs93
1/14/2025, 01:41 PM
It has a lot of horizontal support around 129 but it made for a really good day trade short for me! 
@lilsgymdan: ANF short likely dead in the water,  but was a spec short pds that was out of the money. Either it flushed to 120 and paid 200%+ or went to zero. Will end up being about a 30% loss View
ShKalash
1/14/2025, 01:44 PM
Good Morning
Sapper
1/14/2025, 01:45 PM
Good morning all.
Healey100S
1/14/2025, 01:47 PM
Good morning
Yochanan
1/14/2025, 01:52 PM
Mornin' everyone.
Rachael
1/14/2025, 01:57 PM
This isn't WSB.  
@Johnny Lang: Is this a case of F ur puts? from papa powell? View
Archer
1/14/2025, 02:00 PM
Good morning
BigUzi
1/14/2025, 02:02 PM
are these emojis new?
Dileep
1/14/2025, 02:05 PM
Morning all!
Brian H
1/14/2025, 02:07 PM
Morning all 
Don Nelson
1/14/2025, 02:08 PM
Morning
dylanros
1/14/2025, 02:09 PM
Good morning all 
AMSBriggs
1/14/2025, 02:09 PM
Good Morning
ExpectationValue
1/14/2025, 02:12 PM
Guten Morgan and Good Morning everyone! Back after a vacation to Australia! 
Khorn
1/14/2025, 02:15 PM
Welcome back ya wanker 
@ExpectationValue: Guten Morgan and Good Morning everyone! Back after a vacation to Australia!  View
RickB
1/14/2025, 02:25 PM
Good morning everyone
Dave W
1/14/2025, 02:27 PM
good morning 
libertymatters
1/14/2025, 02:27 PM
Good morning!
Opreme
1/14/2025, 02:28 PM
good morning
Junwoo
1/14/2025, 02:29 PM
Good morning
Pete
1/14/2025, 02:30 PM
PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS TUESDAY - The price action we've seen during the last few weeks has had a negative bias, but the price action is so dang choppy that it is hard to stick with a position. Let me add some clarity. 

Bull markets die hard. When the market is transitioning from bullish to bearish, long-term buyers are still conditioned to buy dips. That strategy has been very successful for the last 18 months. The market cracked the 100-day MA yesterday and it bounced right back. That is so frustrating for shorts. The market bounces and it puts together a couple of nice days... maybe its time to buy. You take some long positions and then the market drops. You are getting twisted by this price action. This is a downward sloping trading channel. You need to short near the upper trendline and you need to take gains near the lower trendline. I wouldn't try to get cute with the bounces, because one of these times the market will keep going lower. The chart below will help you. 

The PPI came out this morning and it was "market friendly". Light inflation will pave the way for more Fed easing. Yesterday the market breached the 100-day MA and it rallied back above it. This should give dip buyers confidence that support is holding. On a good number like this, you would expect follow through buying. There could also be some short covering. In a normal bullish market, this is what you would expect. However, if the market can't rally very much... it is a warning sign that the selling pressure is really building. Long-term money is looking ahead and the PPI is backwards looking. 

Do you remember how the market flew above the 50-day MA last week on good news from Foxconn? That bounce failed. Do you remember how the market sold off Friday on a good jobs report? A lackluster bounce today will signal the same. 

Tomorrow the CPI will be released and JPM will report earnings. I'm not concerned with the CPI. I believe that JPM could reveal that consumer credit conditions are deteriorating. I've been monitoring it and the $8T of Covid-10 stimulus that was pumped into the economy a few years ago has run out. Interest rates remain high and that is squeezing consumers.

I am favoring the short side for swing trading. If this is a low quality bounce, a good short will set up. 

Support is at the 100-day MA and resistance is at $585.
willbeing
1/14/2025, 02:34 PM
 It sounds like you're looking for "Intraday Lines" - Go to the Chart > All Studies and you will find Intraday Lines for the SMAs. This puts a horizontal line on the intraday charts at the Daily SMAs (and other indicators) price level
@Junwoo: Question Would anyone happen to know if there is a way to automatically overlay D1 SMAs on M5 charts in OSP? I've been just doing it manual. Thanks View Answer View
dylanros
1/14/2025, 02:34 PM
Pete's pick LVS alarms triggered, SMA200 break
DieBroccoli
1/14/2025, 02:34 PM
LVS gapped down below 200sma.  will wait for it to retest and for SPY to confirm/align
willbeing
1/14/2025, 02:35 PM
Good morning/afternoon/evening everyone! New feature today. Reactions. Highly requested by the community and advocated for by @Hariseldon. We're excited for this to pave the way to many more interesting enhancements to optimize this chat room for trading. 
willbeing
1/14/2025, 02:36 PM
You'll notice that "Likes" and "Loves" have a red/yellow/blue dot next to them when Featured Traders (Pros, Provens, Mods) like or of love a post
tlopz
1/14/2025, 02:39 PM
Good morning!
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 02:39 PM
 When he took the trade the market was down for the day - and ADBE was not - he shorted the stock
@Tumz: Question I'm missing something critical. To me the market has been climbing all day until it filled the gap. I was also inclined think it's a bullish day (singular).  ... View
ShKalash
1/14/2025, 02:39 PM
LLY down 5%, very weak on volume
tlopz
1/14/2025, 02:40 PM
CRM Gapping up to an H- and right to the 8 EMA. Potential short setting up
Tumz
1/14/2025, 02:41 PM
Thanks, i figured it out later. My issue was that I forgot what a down day was (trading below yesterdays close) 
@Hariseldon:  When he took the trade the market was down for the day - and ADBE was not - he shorted the stock · @Tumz: Question I'm missing something critical. To me the market has bee... View
Pete
1/14/2025, 02:44 PM
The open of the long red candle from two days ago is resistance ($585.88). If we get above that, we will fill some of that gap. Let's see what happens. I am not expecting that ahead of CPI and JPM. I would prefer a wimpy bounce with mixed overlapping candles. That would tell me that the PPI is not that important in the grand scheme of things and that sellers are busy. They want to see how high we can bounce, but they are anxious. That is what I am looking for, but it doesn't mean it will happen.
Pete
1/14/2025, 02:45 PM
Would I short a long red that breaches the opening price? Yes if it happens early.
ollyman
1/14/2025, 02:46 PM
VST broke D1 compression, new ATH
Pete
1/14/2025, 02:50 PM
Short /ES 5899
Pete
1/14/2025, 02:50 PM
Had to wait for the candle to complete, but I got the move I wanted. I will add further into the gap
Pete
1/14/2025, 02:51 PM
Volume is not great so I won't be aggressive.
Pete
1/14/2025, 02:51 PM
Now I want a new low of day on this bar. Then I would add.
Pete
1/14/2025, 02:56 PM
offering 5890. Ave 5894.50.
Pete
1/14/2025, 02:57 PM
Short /ES $5890
Dave W
1/14/2025, 02:57 PM
Short GES puts at intrinsic
Pete
1/14/2025, 02:58 PM
Gap reversal likely. Favor the short side, but don't expect fireworks. No volume. I won't add. bearish 1OP cross
gr8onegoofy
1/14/2025, 03:02 PM
not advocating a long but HOOD is holding strong while market dropping. the stock is compressing on D1 while the market has fallen since the new year
Pete
1/14/2025, 03:03 PM
/ES 5874 bid. Not expecting a giant move today and I know I will have to weather some bounces. A move to that level will yield a 20 pt gain and I am happy with that. It would also fill the gap. 
Pete
1/14/2025, 03:04 PM
How do I know all of this? I don't know shit. I am playing the odds based on price action.
UseLESS_Trades
1/14/2025, 03:05 PM
RDDT also holding flat while market is dropping. Opened broke a tiny H- on the daily (still inside a C1)
bb_co
1/14/2025, 03:09 PM
LVS holding near LOD while market is bouncing
Jim54
1/14/2025, 03:09 PM
FNMA Is very strong!
Pete
1/14/2025, 03:17 PM
/ES 5894 bid. I am not overly concerned with the trade, but the bounce is higher than I would like and it is lasing longer than I would like. The price action is choppy so I will try to get out just below my entry. That level should be revisited.
Pete
1/14/2025, 03:19 PM
How do I know it will be revisited? I don't know shit. I am playing the odds based on the price action I see. The moves both ways feature mixed overlapping candles and there is no volume. This is all program driven.
Pete
1/14/2025, 03:23 PM
Exit /ES 5894. For a .5 pt gain. Still batting 1000 for the year, but I am going to take my bat and go home.
Pete
1/14/2025, 03:25 PM
We are aware that there is a problem when the ETF box is marked in Custom Search. Please don't use it. Thank you for letting us know. 
willbeing
1/14/2025, 03:26 PM
No need to discuss, but it was bothering me so I changed the reactions feature to make it less busy. Refresh your page to receive it
Junwoo
1/14/2025, 03:27 PM
TLT still weak after PPI beat 
Pete
1/14/2025, 03:28 PM
I am going to do some writing. I have well over a couple hundred hours into a series of articles on short-term technical analysis for /ES. It is how I am going to introduce the section. Really great stuff. I figured out how to teach a very complex subject.
Pete
1/14/2025, 03:28 PM
I might have it ready today.
Pete
1/14/2025, 03:35 PM
I plan to revisit all of the articles in Market First and Stock Second in order from start to finish. Reorganize. Start slow, introduce building blocks and ramp up. It will flow. I'm not just going to throw shit out there. I want this to be the best trading book ever written. If I don't have that mentality... why bother. Twenty years from now when I have drool running down my chin I want to look back at this with pride.
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 03:35 PM
Volume is pretty crappy in most of these stocks 
Tobias
1/14/2025, 03:35 PM
BROS is strong and has some volume
Prophylaxis
1/14/2025, 03:35 PM
This PA giving me a headache
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 03:36 PM
MOS - technicals are ok on it - but I recall the Potash market 2016-2020, and I can't help but think this stock is undervalued here - fundamental argument, and I am not going into metrics, just a decent potential long-term hold with limited downside 
Pete
1/14/2025, 03:38 PM
There's your pattern
Tobias
1/14/2025, 03:42 PM
Looks like a wedge on M5 Question 
Blake
1/14/2025, 03:52 PM
MMM made a move above R at $135.6ish. RVOL and 1Ovol is nice on it M5. Past the halfway point of Oct 22nd 2024 D1 candle (red key bar, also earnings reaction that day).
Ahab
1/14/2025, 04:01 PM
CRS with RS pulling back from HOD in M5 ,and pushing thru horizontal resistance at 198.24 in D1, the high dated 11/26 .
lilsgymdan
1/14/2025, 04:03 PM
Short LLY tight leash
Blake
1/14/2025, 04:04 PM
There's H- in the way. Jan 2018 > May 2021 (credit Ryder). Also from May 2021 > Oct 2024. 
@Blake: MMM made a move above R at $135.6ish. RVOL and 1Ovol is nice on it M5. Past the halfway point of Oct 22nd 2024 D1 candle (red key bar, also earnings reaction that day). View
H.S. Wren
1/14/2025, 04:04 PM
PLTR in the gap
spectre
1/14/2025, 04:05 PM
SPY testing SMA 100
Jim54
1/14/2025, 04:05 PM
FNMA is having a parabolic move on heavy volume.  I don't see any news.  Anyone else?
nmrs
1/14/2025, 04:09 PM
 https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/home-price-growth-r...
@Jim54: FNMA is having a parabolic move on heavy volume.  I don't see any news.  Anyone else? View
Jim54
1/14/2025, 04:11 PM
Thank you!
Tobias
1/14/2025, 04:13 PM
Short LVS $45.08
DieBroccoli
1/14/2025, 04:17 PM
RBLX holding its gap up during SPY gap fill. Also has good RS on the D1
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 04:22 PM
Gap has been filled and now we consolidate - pivotal point for the market today - 
Isidore
1/14/2025, 04:28 PM
HLF very weak here nATL
lilsgymdan
1/14/2025, 04:30 PM
Exit Short scratch/tiny loss LLY
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 04:34 PM
No coincidence that this consolidation occurs right at the SMA 100 on SPY
tlopz
1/14/2025, 04:51 PM
Question Hyper-focusing on CRM because it is stock that fooled me before on an H- headfake. It has been clearly bearish on the D1. Yesterday it made a new recent low then gradually floated and ended above VWAP. It also spent most of the day above VWAP, but never got ~75% towards the prior days high. This made me believe that the stock is still quite bearish. However today it gapped up with the market and was inching through an H- and the EMA8 on what seemed like good volume. It did not clear the EMA10 though and is now leaking lower. I'm inclined to short but would like to know if my analysis seems correct. I think a good short entry is breaking the LOD
View Answer
spectre
1/14/2025, 04:53 PM
red key bar compression breakdown thru SMA 100 to new LOD. A doji right after is fine, but now, we want to see quick follow thru on this red key bar with volume and little retracement. That would give us additional confirmation. The price action today has been choppy. Don't expect to only see red candles... there will be some retracement. Take starter sizes and add on confirmation
Isidore
1/14/2025, 04:58 PM
VIX index moving higher on this move lower as well 
spectre
1/14/2025, 05:01 PM
Please use the question feature to ask for feedback/questions.
Isidore
1/14/2025, 05:01 PM
This is an AH question. So I will ask you to repost this then unless a pro wants to chime in now. Also please use the $ in front of your ticker symbols 
JBS
1/14/2025, 05:03 PM
Short SIG at $54.48 day trade
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 05:06 PM
Here is the problem - it is utterly senseless to do a debit spread that far out, hell it is senseless to do it more than a week out - and certainly month away.  The issue is that the failure to see that it is senseless shows  you don't truly understand how these spreads work - I mean really work - so you are doing a trade without really getting the mechanics behind it.  At that point, it doesn't matter if you are correct or not technically.  Oh - and put a $ in front of symbols please.
@Obi: Hi Everyone, wanted some feedback on my thought process behind Short CRWD yesterday PDS 315P -310P Feb 28 expiry. Yesterday we broke SMA 50 as well as two minor trendlines on decent volume. There were... View
spectre
1/14/2025, 05:08 PM
@Obi I messaged you your original question so that you could re-send it as a question. But, now you have hari's feedback above ^
Tobias
1/14/2025, 05:09 PM
Exit Short LVS $44.85
bkubs93
1/14/2025, 05:09 PM
Almost took this but saw it was on a support trendline on the daily  
@JBS: Short SIG at $54.48 day trade View
Megs
1/14/2025, 05:09 PM
Just want to say hi as a new member.  I know we keep the chats professional, but just wanted to introduce myself
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 05:11 PM
A debit spread - whether a PDS or CDS - relies on several things - the following two apply here: 1) you believe the move will be limited, otherwise you are better off with a straight Call or Put - if you did a CDS of 100/101 and the stock goes to 105 - you obviously would have been better off with a straight Call. The longer the time frame the higher the ATR - in the case of CRWD over a month period if you are bearish there is no scenario where straight Puts aren't preferable - 2) limited time frame.  Why? Because unless you are holding until expiry, you want the short Call/Put to decay in value - that doesn't happen if you are two, three, four weeks out in time, you do not get Theta decay - so even though the stock moves up/down, the value of the spread itself really doesn't improve. 
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 05:11 PM
@Megs welcome
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 05:11 PM
It is extremely important to truly understand the mechanics behind a trade before committing to them.  Obviously buying a stock and selling a stock is simple, straightforward - but things get more and more complex beyond that - 
JBS
1/14/2025, 05:14 PM
which TL do you see?
@bkubs93: Almost took this but saw it was on a support trendline on the daily   · @JBS: Short SIG at $54.48 day trade View
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 05:15 PM
 the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up -  the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up  the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up  the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up  the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up  the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up - the market is down - the stock is up 
@tlopz: Question Hyper-focusing on CRM because it is stock that fooled me before on an H- headfake. It has been clearly bearish on the D1. Yesterday it made a new recent low then gradually floated and ended a... View
bkubs93
1/14/2025, 05:16 PM
1OLT line, so not major luckily 
spectre
1/14/2025, 05:17 PM
LVS confirming weakness. Can't get off of the LOD with the market bouncing
Blake
1/14/2025, 05:17 PM
I have a horizontal level off Oct 21st 2022 D1 candle's low
@JBS: which TL do you see/  · @bkubs93: Almost took this but saw it was on a support trendline on the daily   · @JBS: Short SIG at $54.48 day trade ... View
Obi
1/14/2025, 05:19 PM
Thank you Hari, I understand. I will work on understanding the dynamics of the pds better. Assuming I had just gone with a long put or short stock, would CRWD have been the correct choice/stock as a short on a longer timeframe?
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 05:22 PM
I wouldn't short it today but if you are already short you should be relying on the SMA 50 for resistance - so that is your mental stop - a close above that  
@Obi: Thank you Hari, I understand. I will work on understanding the dynamics of the pds better. Assuming I had just gone with a long put or short stock, would CRWD have been the correct choice/stock as a s... View
bb_co
1/14/2025, 05:23 PM
 As a beginner, I found it hard to finally get this one thing. Even if a stock is near a resistance level and looks like an attractive level to short, if the stock is up and the market is down, it means this stock has more buyers than sellers TODAY. There is no trade for today.


I pointed out LVS today because the stock was down while the market was still up. When the market lower, it made LVS attractive to short.
@tlopz: Question Hyper-focusing on CRM because it is stock that fooled me before on an H- headfake. It has been clearly bearish on the D1. Yesterday it made a new recent low then gradually floated and ended a... View
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 05:26 PM
Set alerts on MCD and DLTR - both are setting up as a good shorts 
lilsgymdan
1/14/2025, 05:32 PM
got back into Short LLY
JBS
1/14/2025, 05:34 PM
thanks for heads up guys. Not too worried about the L- or the Horizontal line from oct 2022. I have a market tailwind here and a 1OP bearish divergence. The stock is down on lower guidance with extremely high RVOL and orderly price action (many consecutive reds with little retracement). I also sized for any tall bounce to VWAP. 
JBS
1/14/2025, 05:34 PM
EXAS is another nice DT short
Pete
1/14/2025, 05:35 PM
Very steady drip lower and back below 100-day MA. I don't see this stopping. 
Pete
1/14/2025, 05:35 PM
Remember when I said that today we would find how interested buyers/sellers are after good news? We are getting our answer. 
Dave W
1/14/2025, 05:36 PM
Short NFLX pds
Michael Rey
1/14/2025, 05:43 PM
Question What does PDS mean? View Answer
Tobias
1/14/2025, 06:00 PM
Short DLTR $69.64
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 06:01 PM
You are 11 cents off the SMA - needs confirmation  
@Tobias: Short DLTR $69.64 View
ksalomov
1/14/2025, 06:01 PM
CRNX continues to be weak, nice orderly selling, through 100 MA on W1 
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 06:03 PM
 Read the Wiki - Read the System - Google - ChatGPT - etc...etc..  We really need to instill a culture where asking a question is done after extensive research could not answer it.
Put Debit Spread - P.D.S.
@Michael Rey: Question What does PDS mean? View
Tobias
1/14/2025, 06:06 PM
Exit Short DLTR $69.74 
spectre
1/14/2025, 06:10 PM
SPY choppy bounce back to SMA 100 on light volume with mixed overlapping candles. Here's where we'd want to see a smack down. A bearish engulf on heavy volume with quick follow thru would be great. Dip buyers who bought and are buying at the SMA 100 would get flushed out quickly and that would fuel a move lower.

Another possibility is a choppy back and forth move with mixed candles at the SMA 100, not really being able to escape the gravitational pull of it. That's NOT a good setup because its just random wiggles and jiggles with no direction.
ksalomov
1/14/2025, 06:11 PM
AAOI another weak stock, setting up. 
spectre
1/14/2025, 06:12 PM
What I wouldn't want to see is a choppy light volume float higher that gets to/above VWAP. I would not trade that from the long side and I'd still be hunting for shorts. There's a downward bias with a CH- (downward sloping trading channel) and we can tell that from the mixed overlapping candles, pauses, retracement, choppy action, etc.
@spectre: SPY choppy bounce back to SMA 100 on light volume with mixed overlapping candles. Here's where we'd want to see a smack down. A bearish engulf on heavy volume with quick follow thru would be great. Di... View
Sell Before The High
1/14/2025, 06:28 PM
LNG has some nice buying, steady upwards trend new ATH
Gammon
1/14/2025, 06:34 PM
OXY still looks good on a D1 basis
Dave W
1/14/2025, 06:40 PM
Long SPY
dylanros
1/14/2025, 06:43 PM
HOOD nATH 
Isidore
1/14/2025, 06:44 PM
DG continues to be an excellent short 
Dave W
1/14/2025, 06:46 PM
Exit Long SPY  nice quick profit 
lilsgymdan
1/14/2025, 06:57 PM
premiums are not dropping on 0 days be careful
lilsgymdan
1/14/2025, 06:57 PM
I have a butterfly on from 10:15 am exactly back at entry price and has not lost any value at all
Dave W
1/14/2025, 07:00 PM
FNMA very strong 
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 07:12 PM
Very tough trading environment here - 
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 07:12 PM
not that there is ever an "easy" one - but there are "easier" and this ain't it 
Lightsey
1/14/2025, 07:14 PM
That makes me feel better. Just sitting on my hands here befuddled
lilsgymdan
1/14/2025, 07:16 PM
ugh, making a correction about the premiums. had on a 1/17 fly by accident. scratched it
H.S. Wren
1/14/2025, 07:18 PM
Toward the end of a day on days like this I like to sit around and try to guess the next movement bar by bar and see if my assessments play out accurately. Good mental exercise that doesn't require losing money while the programs try to fake you out. I set a hard rule for myself last week that I would not enter anymore day trades in the final hour of the day. My win rate has been 100% this week and has been 100% before noon on day trades for the past 3 weeks.
spectre
1/14/2025, 07:21 PM
yeah. I didn't get the short setup that I wanted, and now we have a nice tall bounce on good volume thru SMA 100 and VWAP with consecutive greens and orderly move higher. So now what? Both buyers and sellers have been active today at the SMA 100. We are above VWAP and we just had a tall bounce. I personally wouldn't look to be getting long right now. Sellers were active earlier this morning and have been active since December. I would prefer to wait for sellers to return, only for a wimpy dip to VWAP with mixed candles that finds support. That would give me a better entry point, but it's also very possible that setup won't materialize today with how little time is left.
Dave W
1/14/2025, 07:22 PM
SPY 585.39 resistance   the election gap horizontal line 
Tobias
1/14/2025, 07:23 PM
PENN is really strong
Tobias
1/14/2025, 07:23 PM
(d1 only not yet)
Dave W
1/14/2025, 07:24 PM
PENN daily is a mess
Tobias
1/14/2025, 07:25 PM
yes. I set a d1 alert . maybe tomorrow
ali_o
1/14/2025, 07:26 PM
PLNT very nice b/o today
ClemR
1/14/2025, 07:29 PM
What type of sellers would return? Thanks! 
@spectre: yeah. I didn't get the short setup that I wanted, and now we have a nice tall bounce on good volume thru SMA 100 and VWAP with consecutive greens and orderly move higher. So now what? Both buyers and ... View
ShKalash
1/14/2025, 07:30 PM
The kind that move the market 
@ClemR: What type of sellers would return? Thanks!  · @spectre: yeah. I didn't get the short setup that I wanted, and now we have a nice tall bounce on good volume thru SMA 100 and... View
spectre
1/14/2025, 07:30 PM
when I say "sellers", I'm referring to the selling pressure we saw earlier this morning and the overall context over the last month
@ClemR: What type of sellers would return? Thanks!  · @spectre: yeah. I didn't get the short setup that I wanted, and now we have a nice tall bounce on good volume thru SMA 100 and... View
ClemR
1/14/2025, 07:31 PM
Thank you, I appreciate the answer. 
@spectre: when I say "sellers", I'm referring to the selling pressure we saw earlier this morning and the overall context over the last month · @ClemR: What type of sellers would ret... View
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 07:36 PM
If it followed normal technicals I would say that MSTR is a good long right now 
Isidore
1/14/2025, 07:45 PM
WOLF nice VWAP rejection 
spectre
1/14/2025, 07:46 PM
LVS has been an incredible short today. It kept leaking lower initially while the market bounced higher. Eventually, it started to move up with the market when the market volume picked up, but as soon as the market bounce stalled, LVS started to drop hard
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 07:48 PM
Long RIOT $12.67 - 5,000 Shares 
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 07:50 PM
RIOT should have a clear shot to $13.93
spectre
1/14/2025, 07:58 PM
there's the "dip" to VWAP that's now testing the SMA 100. If I wanted to get long on a wimpy dip, I would not be getting long now that those mysterious "sellers" have seemingly returned
No_Faithlessness
1/14/2025, 08:03 PM
NVDA back below 100 sma, AAPL also moving through the 100
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 08:04 PM
Added to RIOT - avg now $12.52 - 7,000 total shares 
BigUzi
1/14/2025, 08:05 PM
 Question with you having a bearish thesis on the market and RIOT dumping down as well, how do you stay confident that it will hold? 
View Answer
BigUzi
1/14/2025, 08:05 PM
Question that question i posted was for hari, sorry
Lightsey
1/14/2025, 08:08 PM
MOS barely moved during that drop
JaxTrader
1/14/2025, 08:09 PM
It's got the 200 day MA above it. 
@Lightsey: MOS barely moved during that drop View
Pete
1/14/2025, 08:09 PM
This is what a market in transition looks like. It is no longer one-sided buying. Both sides have a say. I love volatility. This is setting up for future movement.
Dave W
1/14/2025, 08:09 PM
Exit Short NFLX pds took nice profits 
bkubs93
1/14/2025, 08:11 PM
Super easy 25 points there, didn't come up at all...
JBS
1/14/2025, 08:12 PM
Exit Short SIG at $57.75 took loss, glad I sized for a move to VWAP.
UseLESS_Trades
1/14/2025, 08:12 PM
RGTI has bounced off of support around 5.85 and the 50-day today. Remains very strong amid this high volume selling. Unfortunately it will probably close below avwapE, but it's relatively close to it
gan
1/14/2025, 08:18 PM
Still down >50% since Jensen comments
 
@UseLESS_Trades: RGTI has bounced off of support around 5.85 and the 50-day today. Remains very strong amid this high volume selling. Unfortunately it will probably close below avwapE, but it's relatively close to it View
BigUzi
1/14/2025, 08:20 PM
FNMA didn't fall at all during that SPY dump
dylanros
1/14/2025, 08:22 PM
had another big move today I would set some alerts and let it digest, definitely very strong. 
@BigUzi: FNMA didn't fall at all during that SPY dump View
MAK
1/14/2025, 08:27 PM
Question In this particular market, it seems like 1OP hasn't been as helpful in guiding me with intraday price action. Is that because this is more of an LPTE?  View Answer
Dave W
1/14/2025, 08:32 PM
Exit Short GES  scratched  
Pete
1/14/2025, 08:33 PM
Which moves today had more power? I would say that the sellers did. That last move was a smack down and the volume was heavy. 
Pete
1/14/2025, 08:34 PM
If we staged a bounce above the 100-day MA six months ago, we would still be running higher. Not today.
UseLESS_Trades
1/14/2025, 08:40 PM
Totally fair. [Disclaimer: Not time sensitive - Feel free to ignore until AH] Honestly I wrote here because it left me with a bunch of questions, as this might possibly be slightly different from the end of parabolic moves as taught by Pete. Yes what you said is true it's down a lot since Jensen's comments. But trying to add some context it bounced off of 12Dec's low. Continuing that pace without a rest would be silly. This is arguably the first dip since November (it was a lot deeper than ideal, that's for granted, but it was not very prolonged. It came down on heavy volume which is also not great, but today it has even more volume). I am not trying to derail the room. I just felt that these circumstances might be worthy of bugging the peace of our experienced traders. Forgive me if I'm out of place.
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 08:51 PM
 My first question is always this - have you looked at the daily chart?
@BigUzi:  Question with you having a bearish thesis on the market and RIOT dumping down as well, how do you stay confident that it will hold?  View
Nodakk
1/14/2025, 08:52 PM
You need a keyboard macro. 
@Hariseldon:  My first question is always this - have you looked at the daily chart? · @BigUzi:  Question with you having a bearish thesis on the market and RIOT dumping down as well, h... View
BigUzi
1/14/2025, 08:56 PM
right, so im assuming from what i saw is a bull flag, and a cross + close above the 50 SMA. i guess my question was more tuned to if the market turns into a bear market, wouldn't the idea of market first trump taking a long like that? i don't at all ask this to questionthe thought process but to more understand what i'm missing. 
@Hariseldon:  My first question is always this - have you looked at the daily chart? · @BigUzi:  Question with you having a bearish thesis on the market and RIOT dumping down as well, h... View
Hariseldon
1/14/2025, 08:56 PM
I am long OXY and RIOT specially because of their technicals and their status of being agnostic to the market  
@BigUzi: right, so im assuming from what i saw is a bull flag, and a cross + close above the 50 SMA. i guess my question was more tuned to if the market turns into a bear market, wouldn't the idea of market fi... View
BigUzi
1/14/2025, 08:58 PM
got it. i think i understand it more for OXY 's chart than i do for the RIOT chart. but that's part of the fun, is figuring out how to read charts well when you're a beginner with this.  
@Hariseldon: I am long OXY and RIOT specially because of their technicals and their status of being agnostic to the market   · @BigUzi: right, so im assuming from what i saw is a bull f... View
BigUzi
1/14/2025, 08:58 PM
thanks for answering
ExitShort Dave W - 1/14/2025, 08:32 PM
Exit Short GES  scratched  
ExitShort JBS - 1/14/2025, 08:12 PM
Exit Short SIG at $57.75 took loss, glad I sized for a move to VWAP.
ExitShort Dave W - 1/14/2025, 08:09 PM
Exit Short NFLX pds took nice profits 
Long Hariseldon - 1/14/2025, 07:48 PM
Long RIOT $12.67 - 5,000 Shares 
ExitLong Dave W - 1/14/2025, 06:46 PM
Exit Long SPY  nice quick profit 
Long Dave W - 1/14/2025, 06:40 PM
Long SPY
ExitShort Tobias - 1/14/2025, 06:06 PM
Exit Short DLTR $69.74 
Short Tobias - 1/14/2025, 06:00 PM
Short DLTR $69.64
Short Dave W - 1/14/2025, 05:36 PM
Short NFLX pds
Short lilsgymdan - 1/14/2025, 05:32 PM
got back into Short LLY
ExitShort Tobias - 1/14/2025, 05:09 PM
Exit Short LVS $44.85
Short JBS - 1/14/2025, 05:03 PM
Short SIG at $54.48 day trade
ExitShort lilsgymdan - 1/14/2025, 04:30 PM
Exit Short scratch/tiny loss LLY
Short Tobias - 1/14/2025, 04:13 PM
Short LVS $45.08
Short lilsgymdan - 1/14/2025, 04:03 PM
Short LLY tight leash
Exit Pete - 1/14/2025, 03:23 PM
Exit /ES 5894. For a .5 pt gain. Still batting 1000 for the year, but I am going to take my bat and go home.
Short Dave W - 1/14/2025, 02:57 PM
Short GES puts at intrinsic
Short Pete - 1/14/2025, 02:57 PM
Short /ES $5890
Short Pete - 1/14/2025, 02:50 PM
Short /ES 5899

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Heavy volume today, stock > prior high, H1 and H2 buy signal and option liq > -3

Heavy volume today, stock < prior low, H1 and H2 sell signal and option liq > -3

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Question In this particular market, it seems like 1OP hasn't been as helpful in guiding me with intraday price action. Is that because this is more of an LPTE?  View Answer
Question that question i posted was for hari, sorry
 Question with you having a bearish thesis on the market and RIOT dumping down as well, how do you stay confident that it will hold?  View Answer
Question What does PDS mean? View Answer
Question Hyper-focusing on CRM because it is stock that fooled me before on an H- headfake. It has been clearly bearish on the D1. Yesterday it made a new recent low then gradually floated and ended above VWAP. It also spent most of the day above VWAP, but never got ~75% towards the prior days high. This made me believe that the stock is still quite bearish. However today it gapped up with the market and was inching through an H- and the EMA8 on what seemed like good volume. It did not clear the EMA10 though and is now leaking lower. I'm inclined to short but would like to know if my analysis seems correct. I think a good short entry is breaking the LOD View Answer
Looks like a wedge on M5 Question 

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