Economic Activity Is Slowing

April 30, 2025
Author: Peter Stolcers, Founder of OneOption
Author
Pete

The first reading for Q1 GDP was weaker than expected.

PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS WEDNESDAY - This morning we learned that Q1 GDP was -.3% (.4% growth expected) and projected prices increased 3.7% (3.1% expected). We have weaker growth and hotter than expected inflation. That is not a good combination and the S&P 500 dropped on the news. It also dropped when ADP reported that only 62K jobs were created in the private sector in April (114K expected). I have been pounding on my desk telling you that the macro backdrop is weak. This has nothing to do with tariffs, they have not even kicked in yet.

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